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The Monthly – May 2024

May 21st, 2024|Commentaries|

Disinflation, FED, Jerome Powell, Volatility Index, Investor exposure to cash, Gold prices, Silver prices, Efficient markets, Metal investors.

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The Q1 Commentary 2024

April 24th, 2024|Commentaries, Monthly Commentaries|

Monetary policy, Magnificent seven, Apple stock lagging peers, Commodity prices, Global elections 2024, Royal Canadian Mint, Buying gold, Interest rates, FED, Inflation, Bell shares, Anchoring affect

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Alternative Quarterly Commentary – Q4 2023

January 30th, 2024|Alternative Commentaries, Commentaries|

During the fourth quarter of 2023, the MacNicol Investment Team continued to observe a widening gap between the inflation expectations of market participants and both voting and non-voting central bank officials. Catalyzing our concerns that financial markets may have “jumped to conclusions” when it comes to interest rates and a labor market that stands 200 basis points below its long-term (ex-COVID) average and fiscal profligacy that underpins a situation where government spending is leading to unsustainable levels of debt and deficit.

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December Monthly Commentary

December 12th, 2023|Alternative Commentaries, Commentaries|

In terms of the labor market, job creation has been weak, and vacancies declined further. This led to a slight uptick in the unemployment rate even as wages are still rising by about 4%. More visible job actions at the Canadian banks and other larger companies offer a slanted view on labor as they gain a disproportionate amount of attention from the media.